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Tag Archives: euro

The Greek Bailout – Two Sides Of The Coin

Posted on March 18, 2012 by victor.hatley

Last Thursday the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the European Union (EU) announced a Greek bailout, a $171 billion affair that the IMF claimed Greece had earned in the last months by their attempts to skirt full blown bankruptcy. The investors were standing to lose more than $130 billion from the debt swap that had been initiated to ease off the public sector burdens.

Interview With The BOG Governor

With €50 billion set aside by the EU and IMF for the refunding of the banks, the Bank Of Greece’s governor, George Provopoulos said in an interview Saturday that “I believe that the available amount will not need to be fully exhausted,” then continued with “The recapitalization of the banks will be completed by September 2012.” He did state though that he expected that there would be mergers taking place in spite of the Alpha Bank’s planned shareholder meeting to discuss scrapping their merger with EFG Eurobank Ergasias, one of the largest Greek bank mergers in years.

Investors Worried Anyways

The governor is set to testify Monday at the Bank of Greece’s monetary report to discuss the banking system, the economic recovery, and the difficulties that they face in the near and mid-term future…a subject still considered up for debate. The IMF warned that the bailout would have to be managed very carefully and that it left little room for error, and that Greece was still “accident prone.” A sentiment that many investors are seemingly echoing. In the report released on Friday, the IMF staff wrote that the package relies on very ambitious privatization and fiscal goals. But, mainly n the bringing new life to the structural reforms. If policies fail, or fail to be implemented, then a second bail out could become necessary.

May Take Second Bailout

This is that part that has investors concerned. Investors worry that the bailout may not be enough, in spite of the governors statement. Investors worry that if the Greek plan goes off track that the EU may have to backstop the country’s liquidity while coming up with another plan to boost the Greek economy. As it stands now, they had to agree to massive further spending cuts in order to obtain the loans. The plan also calls for a move to private industry, away from the public enterprise, in order to make the economy more competitive globally.

Posted in Managed Forex | Tagged EU, euro, European Union, forex, Forex Currency Crisis, managed account, separately managed accounts

EU SUMMIT FAILS, WHAT DOES THIS MEAN TO THE MARKETS AND THE FUTURE OF EUROPE

Posted on December 9, 2011 by Oscar Omoro

The European Union summit has failed to secure the full backing of the 27 nations for treaty changes to help fight the region’s debt crisis by coordinating fiscal policy, according to reports. Citing unnamed diplomats and senior European officials said that the summit talks would now concentrate on forging an agreement between the 17 euro-zone members and any other countries that wanted to join. No one knows where these agreements will lead. This will leave the markets in turmoil on Friday morning

A complete agreement fell through after the U.K. asked for concessions that France and Germany weren’t willing to give, according to a Reuters report. Does this mean that the UK has withdrawn from the EU?

Ministers and Leaders started what are increasingly being viewed as make-or-break talks for the currency zone at dinner Thursday, and the talks went on into the early hours of Friday morning.

Prior to the summit on Thursday, UK Prime Minister Cameron, President Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Merkel held 45-minute talks, but sources said there was “no movement” with each side setting out their respective ground. David Cameron has repeatedly warned he will veto anything which harms British interests.

The leaders of the 27 EU nations began the meeting with an informal dinner, and later continued their talks behind closed doors. A number of working sessions is also planned on Friday.
A set of draft conclusions has been circulating in Brussels and were leaked to several news agencies.

The first draft sets a limit on structural deficits of 0.5% of GDP, compared with the present limit of 3% including debt repayments.

It  includes several way of increasing the reach of the eurozone bailout fund above 500bn euros (£426bn; $670bn) – a measure which Germany has opposed.

These draft conclusions are likely to change significantly before a final agreement is adopted.

The Prime Points:

  • the European Commission to have the power to impose penalties for nations that run excessive budget deficits
  • all 17 eurozone nations should amend their national legislation to require balanced budgets
  • the eurozone countries to have common corporation and financial transaction taxes
  • any future bailouts would not require private investors to absorb part of the costs, as happened in the case of Greece

Yesterday, before the EU Summit began, the ECB meetings concluded when ECB President Draghi upset financial markets on by discouraging expectations that the bank would massively step up buying of government bonds if EU leaders agreed on moves towards closer fiscal union.

The ECB President continued to say that the bloc’s existing bailout facility would remain the main tool to fight bond market contagion, despite its clear limits. It was illegal for the ECB or national central banks to lend money to the IMF to buy euro zone bonds, he said, appearing to veto one firefighting option under consideration. Draghi also said that it was against the treaty for the ECB to loan directly to nations or to bailout nations. They could only provide liquidity to banks.

With the failure of the EU Summit to obtain the support of the 27 nations, it is unclear, what effect this will have on the role of the IMF and the ECB. Will they strike out alone with their own plans to help save the European nations?

Will the EU break up or will nations withdraw from the treaty. It is unclear. What is clear that the markets will remain volatile, volatility is a friend to the forex trader, with huge market swings, there is a lot of profit to be made, but also high risk, as the markets can easily jump past stop losses? A good trader, knows that to swim in this pool, takes an expert, someone with his eyes and ears around the globe, someone with instant information and who can react within seconds.

To make money trading forex, in times like these the best advice is having a Managed Forex Account. Why not take advantage of the professional knowledge and expertise and the huge volume of news and data available to a professional managed account provider? To be profitable in today’s markets, the engagement of a Managed Forex Provider is invaluable.

 

 

 

Posted in Managed Forex | Tagged alternative investment, euro, fx managed, managed account, managed forex, managed forex accounts, managed futures, managed fx

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