Last Thursday the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the European Union (EU) announced a Greek bailout, a $171 billion affair that the IMF claimed Greece had earned in the last months by their attempts to skirt full blown bankruptcy. The investors were standing to lose more than $130 billion from the debt swap that had been initiated to ease off the public sector burdens.
Interview With The BOG Governor
With €50 billion set aside by the EU and IMF for the refunding of the banks, the Bank Of Greece’s governor, George Provopoulos said in an interview Saturday that “I believe that the available amount will not need to be fully exhausted,” then continued with “The recapitalization of the banks will be completed by September 2012.” He did state though that he expected that there would be mergers taking place in spite of the Alpha Bank’s planned shareholder meeting to discuss scrapping their merger with EFG Eurobank Ergasias, one of the largest Greek bank mergers in years.
Investors Worried Anyways
The governor is set to testify Monday at the Bank of Greece’s monetary report to discuss the banking system, the economic recovery, and the difficulties that they face in the near and mid-term future…a subject still considered up for debate. The IMF warned that the bailout would have to be managed very carefully and that it left little room for error, and that Greece was still “accident prone.” A sentiment that many investors are seemingly echoing. In the report released on Friday, the IMF staff wrote that the package relies on very ambitious privatization and fiscal goals. But, mainly n the bringing new life to the structural reforms. If policies fail, or fail to be implemented, then a second bail out could become necessary.
May Take Second Bailout
This is that part that has investors concerned. Investors worry that the bailout may not be enough, in spite of the governors statement. Investors worry that if the Greek plan goes off track that the EU may have to backstop the country’s liquidity while coming up with another plan to boost the Greek economy. As it stands now, they had to agree to massive further spending cuts in order to obtain the loans. The plan also calls for a move to private industry, away from the public enterprise, in order to make the economy more competitive globally.
