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Category Archives: Managed Futures

Objective Reviews and Valuable Commentary on Managed Futures Accounts

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Managed futures: Gambling, Trading or Investing

Posted on January 31, 2012 by Oscar Omoro

The term trading as it pertains to managed futures trading brings to mind a fascinating picture drawn from the industry’s bygone days. Days when egg traders used to hold casual gatherings in a back alley opposite Chicago’s Randolph Street in the name of business meetings where trades were written in chalk on a blackboard nailed on the alley’s wall. It was this frequently turbulent “trading” activity, carried out by questionable characters and interesting personalities that defined not only an industry but a city too. In the present, when we hear of the phrase managed futures trading, what reflects on our minds is the image of robust aggressive men in funny colored jackets trading in a wild-west road show.

Perhaps it is this this rocky history that has been used by people to portray trading and the entire managed futures industry as an unsophisticated and unscrupulous undertaking when compared with the savior provided by the stock market. Not as clean as “investing”. But the topic is an inquisitive one. So, what’s the difference between investing and trading? Managed futures have always been considered trading while stocks considered as investing, but what’s the reason behind this? Eventually, isn’t it all just speculation for potential client profitability?

The perception of the managed futures market varies among investors. There are those who view managed futures as nothing more than a legalized gambling; an asset class they despise while accepting government bailouts. Nevertheless, the truth still stands out. Every form of investing is a calculated risk, and to a certain degree a gamble or a speculation. A simple act like strolling across the street is considered gambling. Therefore, for those who say managed futures investing is a gamble but exempting stock speculation from the same conditions is like trying to deny that a bank which capitalizes in highly leveraged mortgage merchandise is not gambling. Of course it is!

The only difference that distinguishes managed futures from the stocks is that managed futures investing is somewhat more transparent with its risks clearly stated out. Honestly, why let your investment world be defined by certain idea peddlers from a tiny East Coast island? Managed futures are authentic investment vehicles, not just gambling or trading as some would induce on your minds. What’ important is who provides the advice.

As far as records are concerned, managed futures have proven their strengths as investments since early 1970s when they were first introduced. Over the past three decades, managed futures have migrated from the outskirts of finance to the epicenter of the mainstream investment world, rising from USD 30 million in 1980 to USD 310 at 31st December 2009. As a matter of fact, managed futures are entering their fourth decade with a solid long-term track of record of providing a non-correlated investment alternative with the possibility of lowering volatility and increasing returns of a larger investment portfolio. As a result, managed futures have continued to be of great appeal to investors wishing to diversify their equity market exposure.

Posted in Managed Futures | Tagged alternative investment, managed account, managed accounts, managed futures

Why add managed futures to your portfolio?

Posted on January 19, 2012 by Oscar Omoro
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With a simple switch to managed futures as an alternative asset class, you can reduce risks and realize solid long term returns in any kind of economic environment, be it a bullish or bearish market.

Managed FuturesManaged Futures Benefits

1. True diversification from traditional markets. Managed futures exhibits a low correlation to the other traditional asset classes such as real estates, bonds and stocks, and has attained a strong performance with long term track of records during both the up and down markets.

2. Volatility reduction. With managed futures, the general portfolio volatility is reduced. This is due to the fact that managed futures invests in a diverse range of asset classes with the key intent of achieving stable long term returns. It has been a trend that when some assets classes rise, others go down; managed futures has proven to be robust in all economic situations.

3. Better performance during economic recessions. When the stock market decline, managed futures might still thrive as a result of the options and short-selling strategies they put in practice during such times.

4. High returns and volatility reduction at the same time. Managed futures and commodities, when used hand in hand with other traditional asset classes may aid in managing and mitigating risks, and at the same time also lead to increased returns.

5. Utilized by pension plan sponsors. For a long period of time, pension plan sponsors have employed managed futures to produce returns over and above the S&P 500.

6. Accessibility to a wide range of liquid and transparent global futures and products. The Commodity Pool Operators (CPOs) and Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs) have the ability to invest in more than 150 liquid products around the world such as agricultural products, fixed income, indexes, metals and energies.

7. Credibility and trustworthiness. The CTAs, the CPOs and managed futures trades are all regulated. Consequently, trading on a regulated market enhances trustworthiness and credibility.

8. An Overall outstanding industry growth. For the past 3 decades, assets under the management of the industry of managed futures have recorded an 80,000% growth, a clear indication it is on the rise.

How Managed Futures Accounts are Run

The standard managed futures account is established just like a self-directed account, at an reputable Managed Futures Broker. When setting up the account you will sign a Limited Power of Attorney, which gives the manager (almost always a CTA) the ability to trade on your behalf. About $10,000 is the minimum requirement, although many futures traders will require much higher minimums.

About $200 billion in the US is under management by CTAs in these accounts, which typically buy or sell futures in cotton, grains, pork bellies, oil, currencies, and indices. The CTAs employ a number of techniques and strategies in their trading, such as technical analysis, economic forecasts of supply/demand, weather, price patterns, and other algorithms.

By allocating about 5% to 10% of your portfolio to managed futures, you can offset losses in other investments. If you’re in any of the industries associated with futures, you can control your costs by purchasing or selling futures in your particular commodity sector.

The Long-Term Outlook of Managed Futures

While no one can forecast the performance of managed futures in general, we do know that flameouts are possible and fairly routine. BarklayHedge, which tracks hundreds of managed futures accounts, replace about 15% of their constituents each year.

And as comprehensive as these indices are, they can’t necessarily include every managed account. There is no central database because regulations don’t require one. So no one knows how many average or losing accounts are left out of the list.

Managed Futures Fees

Each manager has the freedom to establish a fee structure for any particular account. Typically, you can expect to see two types of fees: a management fee of around 2%, and a performance fee. The performance fee is the reward to the manager for earning profits on your account. These fees can run from 10% to 50%. Additionally, the introducing broker can earn a fee of as much as 6% for putting you into the fund.

How Profits are Made

A futures contract is an agreement between two parties, a buyer and a seller. Either one can initiate the transaction. In the case of buying, the purchaser agrees to buy a commodity at a specified price in the future. That “future” may range from a few days to a few months. To “seal the deal” the purchaser puts up collateral in the form of margin, which is usually 15% or less of the contract price.

There are three scenarios in which futures traders can earn profits.

1. The “spot” price of the commodity can increase or decrease after the contract is entered into. If you’re on the right side of the transaction, you can earn the difference between the spot price and the price at which you agreed to buy or sell.

2. A trader can earn a “roll return” by selling last month’s contract for more than the cost of the next month’s contract.

3. The trader’s cash collateral will earn interest. It won’t earn enough to cover the costs of entering into the contract, but it will help.

The Sum of the Game

If you plan on investing in a managed future’s account, you need to look at the manager’s track record. In the US, any CTA who manages futures must publish the results of ALL managed accounts, including the losers. Obviously you want a manager who’s been in the business a while and has earned a fairly consistent profit. Consistency is not as important in futures trading because the manager may specialize in seasonal commodities which only make money at certain times of the year. So a long-term view is most important.

Futures have made many people wealthy, and they have out-performed the S&P 500. This is their appeal to us, and to investors who have the risk capital to participate in managed futures.

Posted in Managed Futures | Tagged alternative investment, alternative investments, managed account, managed accounts, managed futures | Leave a reply

Intro to Futures

Posted on January 19, 2012 by Oscar Omoro
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Futures

Because of the attractive potential for consistent returns, futures trading represents a viable and time-proven asset class for financial investors. Over the past years Futures Tradingit’s been an effective tool to hedge against inflation and economic drawdown.

Even so, more than ninety percent of investors who try commodities will lose their money. However this doesn’t mean that you must suffer the same fate. You stand a good chance to win only if before you start trading, you identify the specific reasons why most traders lose.

A Few Futures Trading Basics

It’s important to be aware and have at least a basic knowledge of the four different types of futures contracts that are available for trading. These four, in no particular order, are currencies, commodities, stock market indices, and bonds. All of the futures available for trade in today’s markets fall within one of these four broad categories.

Trading Futures is Not a Game

According to Bruce Babcock of the Reality Trading Company, it’s not impossible to determine factors that make futures trading professionals stand out from the crowd. One of the characteristics that separates novice traders from professionals is the mindset: Novice traders view futures trading as a hobby, or game. To the professionals, it is a business and treated with all the due seriousness.

In futures trading, especially managed futures, successful traders not only have trading plans, but follow them consistently. This planning is an area most people neglect, or forget, or simply dismiss (perhaps because they won their first trade and decide that “this is easy”). Few traders work out a realistic and durable trading plan. Most amateur traders keep on going from trade, making decisions based on something they have just read or from the news without any consistency or testing. Taking positions in commodities based on emotions is often thrilling especially when one is winning. However, in futures (as with most other asset classes) this type of trading is considered gambling. Eventually gamblers lose their money. Intelligent trading is considered boring because trading strategies are planned in advance according to a thoroughly tested and proven methodology. Such strategies are more likely to yield profits over the long run.

Develop A Futures Trading Strategy

Having a thoroughly tested methodology and being able to follow it consistently as a doctrine is not easy. It requires self discipline and patience. A futures tradingprofessional is able to resist a temptation (that reason that always seem to be a good reason) and stick to the plan. This type of trader has the patience and discipline to abide by a trading plan and take trade position no matter the reasons that may prompt an exception.

To be successful in trading futures, you must stay disciplined and rational in the face of rapid gains and losses .

It’s also advisable to be aware of what futures each market trades in, what hours each market keeps, and the size, expiration, and trading volume of the average contracts sold in them. This is especially important when it concerns the market in which the particular futures you plan to specialize in are sold. If you want to trade in gold futures, do an in-depth study on the COMEX market.

Try to keep an eye out for any financial news about the futures contracts that concern you. Staying up-to-date on the latest news about the futures you are trading in can help you to make the right decisions at the right moments. Remember, though, that a lot of so-called “news” is actually only speculation or rumors. Only time will give you a good feel for differentiating the rumors and gossip from the actual nuggets of truth.

Study up on the particular futures contracts you plan to trade in, and find out what factors contribute to its price fluctuations. If you are aware that the price of coffee futures, for instance, tends to shoot up whenever there is a drought in certain regions, you will know to keep an eye on weather patterns and predictions for those regions. Studying the price history of the futures contracts you trade in can help you to be aware of any patterns that are commonly associated with those futures. It can come in handy to know, for instance, that a certain futures contract tends to double bottom or double top before changing direction.

Create a futures trading strategy and abide by it.

Finally, stick to your plan no matter what happens. Emotions are the enemy of a good trader. Don’t let fear or greed get the best of you. Stay on course in spite of setbacks, and you will see long-term returns with futures.

Posted in Managed Futures | Tagged alternative investment, alternative investments, managed account, managed accounts, managed futures | Leave a reply

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